Thursday, January 20, 2011

Internaional Energy Agency December 2010 report

http://omrpublic.iea.org/currentissues/high.pdf

It looks to me like the peak oil fear of the peak in 2005 is now clearly being surprassed.  And looking to push substantially higher through 2011.  I also believe there is near endless demand as the developing world keeps moving forward.

Global oil product demand for 2010 and 2011 is revised up by an
average of 320 kb/d
buoyant global economic growth and cold northern hemisphere
weather. Global oil demand, assessed at 87.7 mb/d in 2010
(+2.7 mb/d year

Global oil supply fell by 0.3 mb/d to 88.1 mb/d in December
, as non
OPEC output was reduced, on short
pipeline leak and a fire at a Canadian oil sands upgrader also cut
January output. Overall, 2010 and 2011 non
unchanged at 52.8 mb/d and 53.4 mb/d, respectively. OPEC NGLs
contribute 5.3 mb/d in 2010 and 5.8 mb/d in 2011.
lived outages. An AlaskanOPEC estimates are
on higherthanexpected submissions, reflectingonyear), rises by 1.4 mb/d to 89.1 mb/d in 2011.
My comments:  Natural gas liquids is a growing part of the picture.  Especially in Opec nations which are taking the gutsy decision of making the huge capital investments to bring these 'trains' online.  Non-conventional oil is where most or all of the future gains are going to come from.  Deep sea oil like in the gulf of Mexico, offshore Brazil and offshore West Africa, NGL like in the middle east, and tar sands like in Canada and Venezuela.

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